14
Apr
By Fred Gruber
Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – April 14th, 2025

Last week’s inflation reports, both the CPI and PPI, came in significantly cooler than expected. However, this must be viewed in the context of the administration’s recent tariff policies. Rather than signaling a healthy reduction in inflation, the data points to signs of deflation—which can be just as damaging to the economy as high inflation. While the FOMC Minutes offered little insight regarding interest rate changes, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has made it clear that no action will be taken until more data becomes available. Finally, the latest consumer sentiment report dropped to its lowest level in three years, with inflation concerns reaching their highest point since 1981.

Consumer Price Index

Consumer prices fell in March for the first time since the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic in 2020, but economists warn inflation could get worse if the U.S. retains higher tariffs on China and the rest of the world. The consumer-price index declined 0.1% last month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said, aided by falling oil prices and lower airfares. It was the first drop since May 2020.

Producer Price Index

Cheaper oil has taken some pressure off on the inflation front, but it may only be temporary in the face of a major trade war between the U.S. and China. Wholesale prices in the U.S. fell 0.4% in March, dropping for the first time in 17 months, mimicking a similar report on consumer goods and services that showed retail-level inflation was muted last month.

Consumer Sentiment

The University of Michigan’s gauge of consumer sentiment fell to 50.8% in a preliminary April reading from 57.0% in the prior month.  It is the lowest level since June 2022. Sentiment has dropped for four straight months and is down 30% from December. Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had expected an April reading of 54.6%.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates saw no change from last week, with the current rate at 5.82%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.02% for this week, with the current rate at 6.62%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates saw an increase of 0.47% for this week. Current rates at 6.50%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw an increase of 0.47% for this week. Current rates at 6.52%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 223,000 compared to the expected claims of 223,000. The prior week landed at 219,000.

What’s Ahead

Very light release week with low impact data in the form of Federal Reserve’s beige book, Consumer Sentiment, and Leading U.S. Economic Indicators.

11
Apr
By Fred Gruber
Mortgage Tips

The Top 3 Home Loan Programs First-Time Buyers Should Consider

Buying your first home is an exciting milestone, but navigating the mortgage process can feel overwhelming. With so many loan options available, it is important to choose one that best suits your financial situation and long-term goals. Here are three of the most popular home loan programs that first-time buyers should consider.

1. FHA Loan: Ideal for Buyers with Lower Credit Scores and Small Down Payments

The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loan is a popular choice for first-time buyers because of its flexible requirements. FHA loans allow for lower credit scores and smaller down payments, making homeownership more accessible.

  • Down Payment: As low as 3.5 percent with a credit score of at least 580.
  • Credit Score Requirements: Borrowers with scores between 500-579 may still qualify with a 10 percent down payment.
  • Mortgage Insurance: Requires both an upfront and annual mortgage insurance premium (MIP), which increases the overall cost of the loan.
  • Flexible Debt-to-Income Ratios: Allows higher debt levels compared to conventional loans.

This loan is a great option for buyers who need a lower barrier to entry and are comfortable with paying mortgage insurance over the life of the loan or until refinancing into a conventional loan.

2. Conventional 97 Loan: Low Down Payment with No Upfront Mortgage Insurance

For first-time buyers who want a low down payment without the added cost of upfront mortgage insurance, the Conventional 97 loan backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is worth considering.

  • Down Payment: Requires just 3 percent down, making it an attractive alternative to FHA loans.
  • Credit Score Requirements: Generally requires a minimum score of 620, but better rates are available for scores above 700.
  • Mortgage Insurance: Private mortgage insurance (PMI) is required but can be removed once 20 percent equity is reached.
  • No Upfront Mortgage Insurance: Unlike FHA loans, there is no upfront insurance premium, which can save buyers money at closing.

This loan is ideal for buyers with decent credit scores who prefer a conventional loan structure and want to remove PMI once they build enough equity.

3. VA Loan: The Best Option for Eligible Military Members and Veterans

For service members, veterans, and eligible spouses, the VA loan offers unbeatable benefits that make homeownership more affordable.

  • Down Payment: No down payment required, which helps buyers save cash for other expenses.
  • Credit Score Requirements: No official minimum score, though most lenders prefer at least 620.
  • Mortgage Insurance: No private mortgage insurance (PMI) required, lowering monthly costs.
  • Competitive Interest Rates: VA loans often have lower rates than conventional or FHA loans.
  • Additional Benefits: Includes limits on closing costs, no prepayment penalties, and support from the VA if financial hardships arise.

For those who qualify, the VA loan is a powerful tool that eliminates many of the financial barriers to homeownership.

Choosing the Right Loan for You

Each loan program has its own advantages and trade-offs. The right option depends on your credit score, financial situation, and long-term goals. Here are some quick considerations to help you decide:

  • Choose FHA if you have a lower credit score and need a small down payment.
  • Choose Conventional 97 if you have a higher credit score and want to remove mortgage insurance later.
  • Choose VA if you are eligible and want the best loan terms with no down payment.

Taking the time to explore these loan options and speaking with a mortgage professional can help you make an informed decision and move forward confidently in your home-buying journey.

10
Apr
By Fred Gruber
Mortgage Tips

Why Your Mortgage Rate Isn’t the Same as the One Advertised Online

Shopping for a mortgage can be exciting, but it can also be confusing when you see a low advertised rate online, only to be quoted a different rate when you apply. While this can be frustrating, there are several reasons why your actual mortgage rate may differ from what you initially expected. The good news is that understanding these factors can help you make informed decisions and secure the best possible rate for your financial situation.

Personal Financial Profile Matters

Advertised mortgage rates are typically based on ideal borrower profiles—those with excellent credit, low debt-to-income ratios, and substantial down payments. Lenders assess risk when determining mortgage rates, and factors such as your credit score, income stability, and outstanding debts can impact the rate you are offered. If your financial profile is strong, you are more likely to qualify for the lowest available rates.

Loan Type and Terms Affect Rates

Not all mortgage loans are the same, and different types of loans come with varying interest rates. Fixed-rate mortgages, adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), FHA loans, VA loans, and jumbo loans all have unique risk factors that influence the interest rate. Additionally, the term length of your mortgage—whether 15, 20, or 30 years—can affect your rate, with shorter terms generally offering lower rates.

Market Conditions Play a Role

Mortgage rates fluctuate based on economic conditions, including inflation, Federal Reserve policies, and the overall health of the financial markets. Advertised rates may reflect conditions at a specific moment in time, but by the time you apply, rates may have shifted. Staying informed about market trends can help you time your application wisely.

Discount Points and Fees Influence the Rate

Some advertised rates assume that borrowers will pay discount points upfront to lower their interest rates. If the rate you saw online was based on paying points and you prefer not to pay them, your quoted rate may be higher. Additionally, fees associated with loan origination, underwriting, and closing costs can affect the overall cost of your mortgage.

Locking in Your Rate at the Right Time

Mortgage rates can change daily, and a delay in locking in your rate may result in a different rate than what was originally quoted. Lenders offer rate locks to protect you from market fluctuations, but the length of the lock period and any changes in your financial profile can influence the final rate.

How to Get the Best Rate Possible

The key to securing the most competitive mortgage rate is preparation. Here are a few steps to improve your chances:

  • Boost Your Credit Score: Pay down debt, make on-time payments, and check your credit report for errors.
  • Save for a Larger Down Payment: A higher down payment can reduce your loan-to-value ratio, leading to better rates.
  • Compare Lenders: Rates and fees vary, so shopping around can help you find the best deal.
  • Consider Timing: If possible, monitor market trends and apply when rates are favorable.

While the rate you are offered may not always match the one advertised online, there are many ways to position yourself for the best mortgage deal. By understanding the factors at play and preparing accordingly, you can take control of your home financing journey with confidence.