What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – August 14, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - August 14, 2023Last week’s economic reporting included readings on inflation, consumer sentiment, and weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

Inflation Rate Holds Steady in July

Month-to-month inflation rose at a pace of 0.20 percent in July and met analysts’ expectations. There was no change in the pace of month-to-month inflation from June’s reading of 0.20 percent growth. The Consumer Price Index also reported that year-over-year inflation reached 9.10 percent, which was the highest reading since reaching a 40-year high in mid-2022.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, was unchanged from June’s month-to-month pace of 0.20 percent growth. July’s month-to-month reading matched analysts’ expectations. Year-over-year core inflation dipped slightly to 4.70 percent in July as compared to June’s reading of 4.80 percent year-over-year inflation.

Federal Reserve leaders said that they would continue monitoring domestic and global economic developments along with financial and economic data before determining whether or not to raise the Fed’s key interest rate range.

Mortgage Rates, Jobless Claims Rise

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates for the third consecutive week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage approached seven percent and rose by six basis points to 6.96 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by nine basis points to 6.34 percent.

248,000 initial jobless claims were filed last week, which surpassed expectations of 231,000 new claims filed and the previous week’s reading of 227,000 first-tine jobless claims filed.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey

In other news, the University of Michigan released its monthly preliminary reading on U.S. consumer sentiment.

Consumer sentiment rose to an index reading of 72.0 in August as compared to the July reading of 71.6.  The majority of.consumers surveyed indicated that the economy improved in the three months leading up to the survey., Component readings included consumer sentiment index readings for current economic conditions and economic conditions within the next six months. The survey reading for consumer sentiment about economic conditions over the next six months fell to an index reading of  67.3 from the July reading of 68.3 Readings over 50 indicate that most consumers are confident about current economic conditions.

Joanne Hsu, the University of Michigan’s director of consumer surveys, said: “…In general, consumers perceived few differences in the economic environment from last month, but they saw substantial improvement relative to just three months ago.”

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes reading on housing starts and building permits issued, the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting of its Federal Open Market Committee, and weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims. 

Understanding the Distinction Between Mortgage Interest Rates and APR

Understanding the Distinction Between Mortgage Interest Rates and APRWhen it comes to securing a mortgage, borrowers are often confronted with various terms and figures that may seem confusing at first glance. Two key components that play a significant role in determining the cost of a mortgage are the interest rate and the APR (Annual Percentage Rate). Though they are related, it is crucial to understand the difference between them to make informed decisions while comparing different loan offers. This article aims to shed light on the dissimilarities between the mortgage interest rate and the APR, helping borrowers navigate the mortgage landscape more confidently.

Mortgage Interest Rate

The mortgage interest rate is the fundamental percentage charged by the lender to lend money to the borrower. This rate is applied to the loan principal, and it determines the amount of interest that the borrower will pay over the life of the mortgage. For instance, if a borrower takes out a $300,000 mortgage with a 5% interest rate, they will pay $15,000 in interest in the first year (5% of $300,000).

APR (Annual Percentage Rate)

The APR, on the other hand, encompasses a broader perspective of the overall mortgage cost. It is expressed as an annual percentage and includes not just the interest rate but also additional expenses associated with obtaining the loan. These supplementary costs may involve:

Loan Origination Fees: Fees charged by the lender to process the mortgage application.

Points: Optional fees paid upfront to lower the interest rate over the loan’s duration.

Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): Required insurance for some loans with a down payment below a certain threshold.

Closing Costs: Fees related to the closing of the mortgage, such as appraisal fees, title fees, and attorney fees.

The APR presents borrowers with a more comprehensive understanding of the total cost of the mortgage, making it easier to compare different loan offers from multiple lenders. By considering the APR, borrowers can better assess the overall financial implications of each mortgage option.

The mortgage interest rate and the APR serve distinct purposes when evaluating mortgage loans. The interest rate represents the cost of borrowing the principal amount, while the APR provides a more inclusive view of the total cost of the mortgage, encompassing additional fees and charges. Borrowers must carefully consider both figures to make well-informed decisions that align with their financial goals and circumstances.

Borrowers should take time to compare various offers, paying attention to both the interest rate and the APR. By doing so, they can select the most suitable mortgage option, ensuring a more secure and financially sound future.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – August 7, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - August 7, 2023Last week’s scheduled economic reporting included readings on construction spending, public and private sector payroll growth, and the national unemployment rate. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims were also released.

Construction Spending Slips in June

U.S. construction spending slipped by 0.60 percent to 0.50 percent growth in June; analysts expected a month-to-month reading of  0.70 percent growth in construction spending. Year-over-year construction spending increased by 3.50 percent of which single-family residential construction accounted for 2.10 May’s reading for construction spending was revised from  0.90 percent growth to 1.10 percent growth from May to June.

Private residential construction rose by 0.30 percent in June. Spending on public residential construction decreased by -0.20 percent.

July Payroll Growth Shows Mixed Results

ADP reported 324,000 private sector jobs added in July. Analysts predicted only 175,000 private sector jobs added in July while June’s reading showed 455,000 jobs added. The federal government’s Nonfarm Payrolls report showed 187,000 jobs added in July.  Analysts expected 200,000 public and private sector jobs added in July while June’s reading showed 185,000 public and private sector jobs added.

The U.S. national unemployment rate dropped to 3.50 percent in July from June’s reading of 3.60 percent.

Mortgage Rates and Initial Jobless Claims Rise

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose to 6.90 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 14 basis points to 6.25 percent.  The Commerce Department reported that 227,000 jobless claims were filed last week,  which matched expectations and was higher than the 221,000 unemployment claims filed in the previous week.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on inflation and consumer sentiment. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released.