29
Dec
By Fred Gruber
Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rate Locks: When and How to Secure the Best Rate

Rate locks play a crucial role in the mortgage application process, helping borrowers secure a favorable interest rate for their home loan. Here’s an explanation of the importance of rate locks and when and how to secure the best rate:

Interest Rate Protection: Mortgage rates are subject to market fluctuations and can change daily or even multiple times a day. Rate locks protect borrowers from potential rate increases during the loan processing period.

Budgeting and Planning: Knowing the exact interest rate allows borrowers to budget more effectively and plan their finances with certainty. It prevents unexpected increases in monthly payments, helping borrowers manage their expenses.

Peace of Mind: Homebuyers can experience peace of mind when they know their interest rate is secured. This allows them to focus on other aspects of the home-buying process without worrying about market volatility affecting their mortgage terms.

Financial Stability: Rate locks provide financial stability, especially for those on a tight budget. Unpredictable rate changes can significantly impact the affordability of a mortgage, and a rate lock mitigates this risk.

When to Secure a Rate Lock:

Timing Matters: Rate locks are typically available for a specific period, such as 30, 45, or 60 days. It’s crucial to lock in a rate at the right time, considering the expected duration of the loan approval process.

Market Conditions: Monitor market conditions to identify favorable times for rate locks. If interest rates are low or expected to rise, it might be advantageous to secure a rate lock sooner rather than later.

Loan Approval Status: It’s generally recommended to wait until your mortgage application is complete and the loan is in the underwriting process before locking the rate. This ensures that the lock period aligns with the expected timeline for loan approval.

How to Secure the Best Rate Lock:

Shop Around: Obtain quotes from multiple lenders to compare interest rates and terms. This provides a basis for negotiating and helps you identify the best possible rate.

Understand Lock Terms:

Be aware of the lock period and any associated fees or conditions. Longer lock periods may come with higher fees, so it’s essential to strike a balance that suits your needs.

Consider Float-Down Options: Some lenders offer float-down options, allowing borrowers to secure a lower rate if market conditions improve before closing. Understand the terms and conditions of this option.

Consult with a Mortgage Professional: Work closely with your mortgage broker or loan officer. They can provide guidance on the optimal time to lock in your rate based on market trends and your specific financial situation.

In the end, rate locks provide stability and predictability in a volatile market, enabling homebuyers to secure favorable mortgage terms. Timing, market awareness, and careful consideration of lock terms are essential to ensure you get the best rate for your mortgage.

26
Dec
By Fred Gruber
Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 26, 2023

The final release of the GDP figures are the last large releases of the year before moving into Q1 of 2024, with the GDP report showing the economy had shown growth — particularly in Q3 with it tapering off by the end of the year. While the growth had been strong, it still was less than expected by analysts, however the final numbers do indicate we are on a track for a soft-landing and with the potential to all-together avoid a potential recession. The only other reports of note were the Personal Spending and PCE Index Prices.

GDP 2023 (Final)
The U.S. economy expanded at a revised 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter, a surprising burst of growth that appears to have tapered off at year’s end.

Growth of gross domestic product, the official scorecard for the economy, was reduced from a previously reported 5.2% in the government’s third estimate. It was still the biggest increase in GDP in a decade, however, excluding the pandemic years of 2020-21.

Personal Income and Spending
In November, consumer spending experienced a slight increase of 0.2%, indicating a somewhat tempered growth in the U.S. economy. The trend of subdued spending was also observed in October. On a positive note, incomes saw a rise of 0.4% during the same period. This increase in income is noteworthy as it now outpaces inflation.
PCE Index

In November, the U.S. inflation rate, as measured by the Federal Reserve’s preferred PCE index, registered a decline for the first time since 2020, signaling a continued easing of price pressures. The year-over-year inflation growth also decelerated, dropping to 2.6% from the previous month’s 2.9%, marking the lowest level since February 2021.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease by -0.43% with the current rate at 5.95%.
  • 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease by -0.28% with the current rate at 6.67%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates saw a -0.02% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.12%
  • 30-Yr VA rates saw a -0.02% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.13%

Jobless Claims
Initial Claims have decreased to 206,000 in comparison to the expected claims of 218,000. The prior week number was 203,000.

What’s Ahead
With New Year’s on the horizon, the only notable release will be the regularly scheduled Jobless Claims release.

18
Dec
By Fred Gruber
Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 18, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This WeekWith both CPI and PPI reports well within expectations, there is a favorable reception across the broader market spectrum that these reports are a strong sign that the Federal Reverse will begin rate cuts in 2024. A soft landing for the economy is the primary goal of the Federal Reserve, and it would seem their measures have had the intended impact with the Jobless claims seeing a recent new low and many of the primary economic signals pointing to a stable 2024.

Consumer Price Index

The numbers: The cost of living rose a scant 0.1% in November thanks to lower oil prices, but another key measure of inflation showed higher costs of other goods and services such as rent and used cars. After being unchanged in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.1 percent before seasonal adjustment, which were all falling within expectations.

Producer Price Index

The numbers: U.S. wholesale prices were unchanged in November in another sign of gradually easing inflation. Cheaper gasoline gave a big assist to the benign inflation report, but prices in most major categories were also muted. Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had forecasted a 0.1% increase in the producer price index.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week increase by 0.09% with the current rate at 6.38%
  • 30-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.08% with the current rate at 6.95%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates seeing a -0.29% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.14%
  • 30-Yr VA rates seeing a -0.30% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.15%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims have decreased to 202,000 compared to the expected claims of 221,000. The prior week was 220,000.

What’s Ahead

The data release of the CPI and PPI leave next week with a much less notable schedule, with most of the important releases being the usual Jobless Claims and Personal Income Spending. Following in importance is the Consumer Confidence reports expected to be released on Wednesday.