What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – January 13th, 2025

In the first FOMC Minutes of the year, the Federal Reserve signaled strongly that while officials remain vigilant for inflation exceeding their expectations, they have no plans to raise interest rates. Much of the apprehension among speculators is the monetary policy which could keep inflation higher than expected for some time. Meanwhile, unemployment reports indicate that the previous year remained stable, consistently staying below the annual high—a positive sign of a stronger job market.  However, this has been somewhat dampened by the recent reports of the Trade Deficit. Compared to the previous year, the trade gap has nearly doubled, potentially clashing with the policies introduced by the Trump Administration.

Unemployment Report

The Federal Reserve’s sharp half-point reduction in a key U.S. interest rate in September was driven in part by the unemployment rate rising to a post-pandemic high of 4.3% in July, from a cycle low of 3.4% a year and a half earlier. As it turns out, the jobless rate peaked at 4.2% in July. The government wiped away the 4.3% reading after annual revisions that incorporate more accurate information.

Trade Deficit

The U.S. trade deficit increased by 6%, reaching nearly $80 billion by late 2024. This marks a gap nearly double the size of what it was when Donald Trump first assumed the presidency eight years ago. For over three decades, high trade deficits have been a persistent challenge for U.S. presidents. Economists believe there is little Trump can do to significantly address the issue early in his second term.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.01% with the current rate at 6.14%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.02% with the current rate at 6.93%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates saw an increase of 0.13% for this week. Current rates at 6.55%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw an increase of 0.12% for this week. Current rates at 6.57%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 201,000 compared to the expected claims of 215,000. The prior week landed at 211,000.

What’s Ahead

With the Martin Luther King holiday next week, a very light release schedule is planned. The most significant among them are the Consumer Sentiment report and the U.S. Leading Economic Indicators data.

How to Choose Which Mortgage Is The Right One for You

When it comes to buying a home, selecting the right mortgage is one of the most important financial decisions you’ll make. The type of loan you choose will impact your monthly payments, interest rates, and overall financial stability. To make the best choice, it’s essential to understand the different types of mortgages available and how they align with your financial goals and circumstances.

1. Conventional Loans

Conventional loans are the most common type of mortgage and are offered by private lenders such as banks and credit unions. They come in two main forms:

  • Fixed-rate loans: These have a stable interest rate that remains the same throughout the life of the loan, making them ideal if you prefer predictable payments.

  • Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs): These start with a lower interest rate that adjusts periodically based on market conditions. ARMs can be a good choice if you plan to sell or refinance before the rate changes.

Conventional loans typically require a higher credit score and a larger down payment compared to government-backed loans.

2. FHA Loans

Backed by the Federal Housing Administration, FHA loans are designed for borrowers with lower credit scores or smaller down payments. Key features include:

  • Down payments as low as 3.5% for those who qualify.

  • Flexible credit score requirements.

  • Higher debt-to-income (DTI) ratios allowed compared to conventional loans.

FHA loans are an excellent option for first-time homebuyers or those who need a more accessible entry point into homeownership.

3. VA Loans

VA loans are available exclusively to eligible veterans, active-duty service members, and certain members of the National Guard and Reserves. These loans are backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs and offer unique benefits, such as:

  • No down payment required.

  • Competitive interest rates.

  • No private mortgage insurance (PMI) costs.

If you’ve served in the military, a VA loan can be one of the most affordable paths to homeownership.

4. USDA Loans

The U.S. Department of Agriculture offers USDA loans to buyers interested in purchasing homes in rural or suburban areas. These loans are designed to help low- to moderate-income families and offer:

  • No down payment for qualified applicants.

  • Competitive interest rates.

  • Flexible credit requirements.

If you’re looking to buy a home in a rural area and meet the income requirements, a USDA loan could be a great fit.

Choosing the Right Mortgage

To determine the best mortgage for your situation, consider the following factors:

  1. Your Financial Situation
    Evaluate your credit score, savings, and income stability. These factors will influence your loan options and the terms you qualify for.

  2. Your Long-Term Goals
    Think about how long you plan to stay in the home. If you’re planning on a long-term commitment, a fixed-rate loan might be best. For shorter stays, an ARM or low-down-payment loan might make more sense.

  3. Risk Tolerance
    If you prefer stability and predictable payments, opt for a fixed-rate loan. If you’re comfortable with some financial variability, consider an ARM.

  4. Eligibility
    Check if you qualify for special programs like VA or USDA loans, which offer favorable terms and benefits.

The right mortgage is more than just a loan—it’s a stepping stone toward achieving your homeownership goals while maintaining financial health. By understanding the differences between loan types and assessing your personal needs, you can make a confident, informed decision.

How to Strengthen Your Mortgage Application and Boost Approval Chances

Your mortgage application is more than just paperwork—it’s your chance to demonstrate to lenders that you’re a reliable and financially stable borrower. Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer or looking to upgrade, a strong application can make a significant difference in securing favorable terms. Here are practical steps you can take to improve your mortgage application and maximize your chances of approval.

1. Focus on Your Credit Score

Your credit score is one of the most critical factors lenders consider. A higher score shows financial responsibility and reduces the perceived risk of lending to you. To enhance your credit score:

  • Pay down outstanding debts: Reducing credit card balances can improve your debt-to-credit ratio.

  • Avoid late payments: Consistent, on-time payments build trust with lenders.

  • Hold off on opening new credit accounts: Avoid taking on new debt or making large purchases on credit before submitting your application.

If your credit score isn’t where it needs to be, start improving it months before you apply for a mortgage.

2. Reduce Your Debt-to-Income Ratio

Lenders closely evaluate your debt-to-income (DTI) ratio to ensure you can handle monthly mortgage payments alongside existing debts. To lower your DTI:

  • Pay off small debts when possible.

  • Avoid taking on new loans or credit obligations.

  • Keep your spending in check and focus on saving for your down payment.

A lower DTI ratio signals to lenders that you can comfortably manage your financial obligations.

3. Highlight a Stable Income

Having a steady and reliable income is crucial for mortgage approval. To showcase your financial health, provide thorough documentation, including:

  • Recent pay stubs

  • Tax returns from the past two years

  • Bank statements showing consistent deposits

If your income includes bonuses, commissions, or freelance work, ensure that it’s well-documented and consistent over time.

4. Be Honest About Your Financial Situation

Transparency goes a long way in building trust with lenders. Fully disclose your financial situation, including:

  • All sources of income

  • Any debts or financial obligations

  • Assets that may help strengthen your application

Hiding information can lead to delays, complications, or even denial. By being upfront, you’ll foster trust and avoid surprises during the underwriting process.

5. Shop Around for the Best Rates and Terms

Not all lenders are the same, and comparing options can help you find the best deal. When shopping around:

  • Look at interest rates, closing costs, and loan terms.

  • Check customer reviews and lender reputations.

  • Don’t be afraid to negotiate or ask questions about fees and conditions.

Even a slight difference in interest rates can save you thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.

6. Save for a Larger Down Payment

While some loans allow for low down payments, offering a higher one can strengthen your application. A larger down payment reduces the loan amount and shows lenders you’re financially committed to the purchase.

Improving your mortgage application isn’t just about increasing your chances of approval—it’s about setting yourself up for long-term financial success. Lenders want to see that you’re a low-risk borrower, and by taking these steps, you can present a solid financial profile that stands out.

Ready to take the first step toward homeownership? Start improving your mortgage application today by following these tips. A strong application can help you secure the home you’ve been dreaming of!