What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – March 31st, 2025

With the introduction of tariffs on Tuesday, there is significant uncertainty across all sectors regarding the potential outcome. While important data releases—including the PCE Index, Personal Income & Spending, and Consumer Sentiment for the quarter—have taken place, their impact is expected to be largely overshadowed by apprehension surrounding the widespread tariff decisions.

With the upcoming release of inflation reports, including the CPI and PPI this week, all eyes will be on these two key metrics. The focus remains on tariffs and their impact on the markets, as well as inflation, which is likely to be influenced by the new tariff policies.

PCI Index

A separate measure of prices known as the core rate rose a sharper 0.4% in February, a tick above Wall Street’s forecast. The increase in the core PCE in the past year climbed to 2.8% from 2.7%. The core rate omits food and energy prices, which often jump up and down in the short run. It’s seen as a better predictor of future inflation.

Consumer Spending

Consumer spending rose a modest 0.4% last month, the government said, and rebounded from a decline in January. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had projected a 0.5% gain. Household spending is the main engine of the U.S. economy, but it appears to have sputtered in early 2025.

Consumer Sentiment

The final reading of consumer sentiment in March fell to a 32-month low, as more Americans than at any time since the financial crisis think unemployment will rise in the year ahead. The second of two readings of the consumer-sentiment survey fell to 57.0 from an initial 57.9, the University of Michigan said Friday.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.06% with the current rate at 5.89%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.02% with the current rate at 6.65%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates saw an increase of 0.03% for this week. Current rates at 6.18%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw an increase of 0.03% for this week. Current rates at 6.20%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 224,000 compared to the expected claims of 226,000. The prior week landed at 225,000.

What’s Ahead

CPI and PPI are ahead next week as well as the tariffs, which are set to be in effect starting Tuesday.

Can I Get a Mortgage Without a Credit Score By Using Alternative Credit History?

If you’ve been managing your finances responsibly but don’t have a traditional credit score, you may be wondering whether homeownership is still within reach. The good news? It is! While most mortgage lenders rely on credit scores to assess your creditworthiness, alternative credit history—like rent payments, utility bills, and other recurring expenses—can help you qualify for a mortgage.

What Is Alternative Credit History?

Alternative credit history consists of financial records that demonstrate your ability to manage debt and make payments on time, even if you don’t have a credit card or traditional loans. Some examples include:

  • Rent payments – A history of on-time rent payments can be a strong indicator of financial responsibility.
  • Utility bills – Consistent payments for electricity, water, gas, and even phone bills can showcase your reliability.
  • Insurance premiums – Paying for car, health, or renter’s insurance on time adds to your credibility.
  • Streaming or subscription services – Some lenders may even consider consistent payments for services like Netflix or a gym membership.

How Do Mortgage Lenders Use Alternative Credit?

Some lenders, especially those offering FHA, VA, and USDA loans, accept alternative credit data in place of a credit score. Instead of pulling a standard credit report, they may request documentation proving your payment history, such as:

  • Canceled checks
  • Bank statements showing recurring payments
  • Letters from landlords or service providers confirming on-time payments

Additionally, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac now allow rent payments to be factored into credit evaluations when applying for conventional loans, making it easier for first-time homebuyers to qualify.

What Are the Requirements?

While each lender may have different criteria, here are some general guidelines to keep in mind:

  • A strong rental history – Typically, lenders want to see at least 12 months of consistent, on-time rent payments.
  • Three or more alternative credit sources – Having multiple payment histories helps build a well-rounded financial profile.
  • Stable income and employment – Lenders still evaluate your ability to afford a mortgage based on your earnings and job history.
  • Low debt-to-income (DTI) ratio – Keeping your total monthly debts (including the future mortgage payment) below 43% of your income improves your chances of approval.

Which Mortgage Programs Accept Alternative Credit?

If you don’t have a traditional credit score, consider these mortgage options:

  • FHA Loans – Backed by the Federal Housing Administration, FHA loans are ideal for borrowers with limited credit history.
  • VA Loans – If you’re a veteran or active-duty military member, VA loans offer flexible credit requirements.
  • USDA Loans – Designed for rural homebuyers, these loans allow alternative credit history for qualification.
  • Manual Underwriting on Conventional Loans – Some lenders offer manually underwritten loans, meaning a person (rather than an automated system) reviews your finances.

Tips for a Successful Mortgage Application

  • Keep records of payments – Save bank statements, receipts, and letters from service providers.
  • Use a rent-reporting service – Some companies, like RentTrack or Experian Boost, can help report your rent payments to credit bureaus.
  • Work with a knowledgeable mortgage lender – Not all lenders accept alternative credit, so finding one who specializes in this process is key.

Yes, you can get a mortgage without a credit score! By leveraging alternative credit history, demonstrating financial responsibility, and choosing the right loan program, you can achieve homeownership—even without a traditional credit report. If you’re unsure where to start, connect with a mortgage professional who can guide you through the process and help make your dream of owning a home a reality.

The Difference Between FICO Score and Credit Score: How It Affects Your Mortgage and Rates

When applying for a mortgage, your creditworthiness plays a significant role in determining your loan approval and interest rates. Two commonly referenced terms are FICO score and credit score, which are often used interchangeably but have distinct differences.

1. What is a Credit Score?

A credit score is a broad term that refers to a numerical representation of a consumer’s credit risk. It is calculated based on various scoring models, including FICO and VantageScore, and is derived from credit report data such as payment history, credit utilization, and length of credit history.

2. What is a FICO Score?

A FICO score is a specific type of credit score developed by the Fair Isaac Corporation. It is the most widely used scoring model by mortgage lenders. FICO scores range from 300 to 850 and are calculated based on five key factors:

  • Payment history (35%)
  • Amounts owed (30%)
  • Length of credit history (15%)
  • Credit mix (10%)
  • New credit inquiries (10%)

3. How Do They Affect Your Mortgage?

  • Interest Rates: A higher FICO score typically qualifies you for lower mortgage interest rates, while a lower score may result in higher rates or loan denial.
  • Loan Approval: Lenders often have minimum credit score requirements, and FICO scores are a primary factor in the underwriting process.
  • Loan Terms: Your score can affect down payment requirements and loan programs available to you, such as conventional, FHA, or VA loans.

4. Key Differences

  • Scope: Credit scores can come from various models, while FICO is a specific scoring model.
  • Usage: Most mortgage lenders rely heavily on FICO scores for risk assessment.
  • Impact: Your FICO score has a direct influence on mortgage rates and loan eligibility.

Understanding the distinction between a FICO score and a credit score is essential when preparing for a mortgage application. By improving your FICO score, you can increase your chances of securing better loan terms and lower interest rates.