What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – February 18th, 2025

The major inflation data reports have been released, and the initial readings indicate that inflation has exceeded expectations. While the data suggests that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to allow any further rate cuts beyond those already implemented, optimism remains in the broader lending markets. This optimism is driven by expectations that the new administration may introduce changes to monetary policy in the longer term. Although inflation has come in higher than expected, it remains to be seen what next week’s PCE Index—the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator—will reveal.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Consumer price data for goods and services was released earlier today for January, showing a 0.5% increase month-over-month and a 3.0% increase year-over-year. This exceeded economists’ expectations of a 0.3% rise and marked the third consecutive month of 0.1% increases. Shelter remains the primary driver of fluctuations in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rising 0.4% in January and accounting for 30% of the overall increase.

Producer Price Index (PPI)

Wholesale prices rose sharply in January in another sign that lingering inflationary pressures in the economy will keep high U.S. interest rates from falling much anytime soon. The producer-price index increased 0.4% last month, the government said Thursday. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.3% gain.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.04% with the current rate at 6.09%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.02% with the current rate at 6.87%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates saw a decrease of -0.06% for this week. Current rates at 6.33%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw a decrease of -0.06% for this week. Current rates at 6.35%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 213,000 compared to the expected claims of 215,000. The prior week landed at 220,000.

What’s Ahead

Consumer Sentiment reports are scheduled for next week, though few other significant reports are expected. Most attention will be on the PCE Index report the following week, especially given the recent higher-than-expected inflation data.

Presidents’ Day and the American Dream of Homeownership

Presidents’ Day is a time to reflect on leadership, vision, and the pursuit of big goals. Throughout history, homeownership has been a key part of the American Dream, a foundation for stability, growth, and opportunity.

If owning a home is one of your goals this year, now is a great time to start planning. Market conditions, loan options, and expert guidance can all help make your journey easier. Whether you’re buying your first home, upgrading to a new space, or refinancing for better terms, having a clear strategy can make all the difference.

Homeownership is a big step, but with the right support, it’s more achievable than you think. Reach out today to explore your options and take the next step toward your future home.

Second Mortgage vs. Refinancing and How to Identify Which Option is Right for You

When homeowners need access to funds or want to optimize their mortgage terms, they often face a critical decision: Should I get a second mortgage or refinance? Both options have unique advantages and considerations, making it essential to evaluate your financial situation and long-term goals before choosing the best path.

Understanding a Second Mortgage

A second mortgage is a loan that allows homeowners to borrow against their home equity while keeping their original mortgage intact. There are two main types of second mortgages:

  • Home Equity Loan: A lump sum loan with a fixed interest rate and set repayment schedule.

  • Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC): A revolving credit line with a variable interest rate, similar to a credit card.

Pros of a Second Mortgage:

  • Access to a large sum of money for home improvements, debt consolidation, or other expenses. 

  • Fixed rates (in the case of home equity loans) provide predictable payments. 

  • Does not affect the interest rate or terms of your existing mortgage.

Cons of a Second Mortgage:

  • Higher interest rates compared to first mortgages. 

  • Additional monthly payment, increasing overall debt burden. 

  • Risk of foreclosure if payments are not met.

Understanding Refinancing

Refinancing replaces your existing mortgage with a new one, often with better terms. Homeowners refinance for various reasons, such as lowering interest rates, extending the loan term, or switching from an adjustable-rate to a fixed-rate mortgage.

Pros of Refinancing:

  • Potentially lower interest rates, reducing monthly payments and long-term interest costs. 

  • Opportunity to access home equity through a cash-out refinance. 

  • Simplifies finances by consolidating debts into a single payment.

Cons of Refinancing:

  • Closing costs and fees can be expensive. 

  • Extending the loan term may result in paying more interest over time. 

  • Qualification depends on credit score, home equity, and current market rates.

Which Option is Right for You?

Consider a Second Mortgage If:

  • You need a lump sum or flexible credit line for a major expense.

  • You have a low-interest primary mortgage and don’t want to lose that rate.

  • You can handle an additional monthly payment responsibly.

Consider Refinancing If:

  • You want to lower your monthly payments or interest rate.

  • You prefer a single loan instead of juggling multiple mortgage payments.

  • You have significant home equity and need cash for large expenses.

Both options can be beneficial, depending on your financial goals and current mortgage terms. Before making a decision, carefully evaluate your needs, research loan terms, and consult with a qualified mortgage professional to determine the best strategy for your situation.