08
Jan
By Fred Gruber
Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – January 8th, 2024

With the first FOMC minutes of the year, it sets the tone of the potential moves the Federal Reserve will make, with them remaining firm in their current stance of not employing any rate cuts, however given the more recent end of year reports, there is a likelihood that rate cuts will start this year. The last change in rates was in July of last year. The second most important report also being the final PMI (Manufacturing) numbers, which has largely met expectations without any irregularities.

S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI

Manufacturing PMI was revised lower to 47.9 in December 2023 from a preliminary of 48.2, and compared to 49.4 in November, pointing to a bigger deterioration in manufacturing conditions.

FOMC Minutes

According to the minutes, several officials said that the Fed might have to hold its benchmark rate steady “for longer than they currently anticipated,” while a number of officials pushed for some easing.

The dovish officials “highlighted the uncertainty associated with how long a restrictive monetary policy stance would need to be maintained, and pointed to the downside risks to the economy that would be associated with an overly restrictive stance,” according to the minutes.

Non-farm Payrolls

The unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7% in December, the government said Friday, keeping it near a half century low.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.04% with the current rate at 5.89%
• 30-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week increase by 0.01% with the current rate at 6.62%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates saw a 0.08% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.16%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw a 0.08% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.16%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 202,000 compared to the expected claims of 220,000. The prior week was 216,000.

What’s Ahead

After the FOMC minutes for this week, next week will primarily be a light release week with one major report being the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index which will show the inflation rates over December.

05
Jan
By Fred Gruber
Mortgage

Understanding, Avoiding, and Mitigating Early Mortgage Repayment Fees

Mortgage prepayment penalties are fees charged by lenders when borrowers pay off their mortgages before the agreed-upon term. These penalties are designed to compensate lenders for potential lost interest income and can significantly impact borrowers who want to pay off their mortgages early. Here’s what borrowers should watch out for and how to avoid or mitigate prepayment penalties:

Understand the Terms of Your Mortgage Agreement:

Before signing any mortgage agreement, carefully review the terms and conditions related to prepayment. Look for information about prepayment penalties, including how they are calculated and under what circumstances they may apply.

There are generally two types of prepayment penalties called hard prepayment penalties and soft prepayment penalties.

Hard Prepayment Penalties:
These are fixed fees and are typically expressed as a percentage of the loan amount. They are charged regardless of the reason for prepayment.

Soft Prepayment Penalties:
These are more flexible and may only be charged if the borrower pays off a significant portion of the loan within a certain period, such as the first few years of the loan term.

Negotiate Terms Before Signing: If possible, negotiate the terms of your mortgage before signing the agreement. Some lenders may be willing to reduce or eliminate prepayment penalties, especially if you have a strong credit history and a good relationship with the lender.

Choose Mortgages with No Prepayment Penalties: Some mortgage products come with no prepayment penalties. If prepayment flexibility is essential to you, consider exploring mortgage options that explicitly state the absence of prepayment penalties.

Consider Refinancing: If you’re already in a mortgage with prepayment penalties and want to pay off your loan early, consider refinancing. By refinancing, you can secure a new mortgage without prepayment penalties, allowing you more flexibility in managing your loan.

Check State Regulations: Mortgage regulations vary by state, and some states may have restrictions on the types and amounts of prepayment penalties that lenders can impose. Familiarize yourself with the regulations in your state to understand your rights as a borrower.

Seek Legal Advice: If you’re unsure about the terms of your mortgage or believe that prepayment penalties are unfair, consider seeking legal advice. An attorney with expertise in real estate law can review your mortgage agreement and provide guidance on the best course of action.

Review Loan Estimates and Closing Documents: Before closing on a mortgage, carefully review the loan estimates and closing documents. Ensure that the terms you discussed with the lender are accurately reflected in the final documents.

Understanding the terms of your mortgage and taking proactive steps to mitigate prepayment penalties can save you money and provide greater flexibility in managing your finances. Always consult with financial and legal professionals to ensure you make informed decisions based on your specific situation.

04
Jan
By Fred Gruber
Mortgage

15-Year vs. 30-Year Loans Compared

Choosing the right mortgage term is a critical decision when purchasing a home. The two most common options are 15-year and 30-year mortgage terms. Let’s compare the advantages and disadvantages of each to help you make an informed decision:

15-Year Mortgage Advantages:

Interest Savings: The most significant advantage of a 15-year mortgage is the amount of interest you can save over the life of the loan. With a shorter term, you pay less interest because the loan is repaid more quickly.

Faster Equity Building: Monthly payments for a 15-year mortgage are higher, but a larger portion of each payment goes toward the principal. This results in faster equity buildup, which can be beneficial if you plan to sell or refinance in the future.

Lower Interest Rate: Generally, 15-year mortgages come with lower interest rates compared to 30-year mortgages. This can contribute to overall interest savings.

15-Year Mortgage Disadvantages:

Higher Monthly Payments: The main drawback of a 15-year mortgage is the higher monthly payments. This option may strain your monthly budget as compared to a longer-term loan.

Reduced Flexibility: Higher monthly payments can limit your financial flexibility. If unexpected expenses arise, you may find it challenging to meet the higher mortgage payment.

30-Year Mortgage Advantages:

Lower Monthly Payments: The primary advantage of a 30-year mortgage is the lower monthly payments, making it more manageable for many homebuyers. This can free up cash for other investments or expenses.

Greater Flexibility: Lower monthly payments provide greater financial flexibility. You can allocate extra funds towards investments, emergency savings, or other financial goals.

Tax Deductibility: Mortgage interest is often tax-deductible, and with a 30-year mortgage, you may have higher interest payments, potentially resulting in a larger tax deduction.

30-Year Mortgage Disadvantages:

Higher Total Interest Paid: While monthly payments are lower, the total interest paid over the life of the loan is higher compared to a 15-year mortgage. This means you’ll pay more for your home in the long run.

Slower Equity Buildup: With lower monthly payments, a smaller portion of each payment goes toward the principal. This leads to slower equity buildup compared to a 15-year mortgage.

Considerations:

Financial Goals: Consider your financial goals and priorities. If you prioritize long-term savings and can comfortably afford higher monthly payments, a 15-year mortgage might be suitable.

Budget and Cash Flow: Evaluate your monthly budget and cash flow. If you need more flexibility and want to keep monthly payments lower, a 30-year mortgage may be a better fit.

Long-Term Plans: Consider your long-term plans. If you plan to stay in the home for a significant period, a 30-year mortgage may offer more financial flexibility.

Ultimately, the choice between a 15-year and a 30-year mortgage depends on your individual financial situation, goals, and preferences. It’s advisable to consult with a financial advisor or mortgage professional to make the best decision based on your unique circumstances.