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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 9th, 2024

With the CPI and PPI scheduled for release in the upcoming week, the previous week was lightly peppered with a small amount of impactful financial data releases. The highlight was the S&P Manufacturing PMI, which reported final numbers for the year showing better-than-expected improvements in the manufacturing sector. Unemployment data also aligned with expectations, reinforcing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut remaining on track. Lastly, the Consumer Credit Report had the expected jump just before the Holiday Season as consumers relied on credit to make holiday purchases for the end of the year.

S&P PMI Final

Input cost inflation slowed further, reaching its lowest rate in a year. Meanwhile, output prices increased at a slightly faster pace. The seasonally adjusted S&P PMI stayed below the neutral 50.0 mark, recording 49.7, which indicates only a slight decline in the sector’s health for the month. This was an improvement from October’s 48.5 reading and marked the highest level in the current five-month trend of weakening business conditions.

Unemployment Report

The economy added a seemingly solid 227,000 new jobs in November, but much of the gain was tied to temporary influences instead of resurgence in weakening U.S. labor market. The rebound in hiring followed a paltry 36,000 increase in new jobs in October, when a strike at Boeing and a pair of major hurricanes depressed employment.

Consumer Credit

Total U.S. consumer credit surged in October, rising by $19.2 billion compared to a $3.2 billion gain in the prior month, the Federal Reserve said Friday. This marked the fastest growth since July, reflecting a 4.5% annualized growth rate, up significantly from the 0.8% increase in the previous month.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.14% with the current rate at 5.96%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.12% with the current rate at 6.69%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates saw a decrease of -0.10% for this week. Current rates at 6.12%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw a decrease of -0.11% for this week. Current rates at 6.13%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 224,000 compared to the expected claims of 215,000. The prior week landed at 215,000.

What’s Ahead

A light week, with the largest reports being the Consumer Price Index and Price Producer Index. These have historically been the most impactful reports for inflation.

Why Refinancing Your Mortgage Before the Year Ends Is a Great Option

As the year comes to a close, it’s the perfect time to consider refinancing your mortgage. Whether you’ve been thinking about lowering your monthly payment, securing a better interest rate, or tapping into your home’s equity, refinancing can offer many benefits. However, the timing can make all the difference. Here’s why refinancing before the year ends might be a great option for you.

1. Lock in Lower Interest Rates

Interest rates fluctuate throughout the year, and while it’s hard to predict exactly when the best time to refinance will be, rates tend to dip during the fall and winter months. By refinancing before the year ends, you can potentially lock in a lower interest rate, which could lower your monthly payments and save you money over the life of the loan. A lower rate can make a significant difference, especially if your current rate is higher than what’s available today.

2. Take Advantage of Tax Benefits

When you refinance your mortgage, you might be able to deduct mortgage interest on your taxes for the year of the refinance. This can be especially beneficial if you’ve made significant changes to your loan or have paid off a substantial portion of your mortgage. Consult with a tax professional to determine how refinancing can impact your tax situation.

3. Access Your Home’s Equity

If your home has appreciated in value over the years, refinancing can allow you to tap into your home’s equity. You can use this equity to pay off high-interest debt, finance home improvements, or even invest in other opportunities. Refinancing before the year ends can help you take advantage of your home’s increased value, especially in a rising market.

4. Pay Off High-Interest Debt

With a cash-out refinance, you can use the equity in your home to consolidate and pay off high-interest debt such as credit card balances or personal loans. This can free up cash flow and potentially save you from paying exorbitant interest rates. By paying off these debts before the end of the year, you’ll start the new year with less financial strain and a more manageable budget.

5. Improve Your Financial Outlook for Next Year

Refinancing can give you a fresh start for the coming year. By lowering your monthly mortgage payment or adjusting your loan term, you can better align your mortgage payments with your long-term financial goals. Starting the new year with improved financial flexibility can provide peace of mind as you plan for the future.

6. Close Before the End of the Year

Many lenders may have end-of-year incentives or be motivated to close loans quickly before the calendar year ends. If you’ve been considering refinancing, this is the time to take action. By closing before the year ends, you can start the new year with a better mortgage and more favorable terms.

7. Refinance with a Shorter Loan Term

Another reason to refinance before the year ends is the possibility of securing a shorter loan term. Refinancing to a 15-year mortgage (or even a 10-year loan) can help you pay off your home faster and save money on interest in the long run. While monthly payments may be higher, the overall financial benefit of paying off your loan sooner can be substantial.

Refinancing your mortgage before the year ends offers several opportunities to save money, access equity, and improve your financial outlook for the future. Whether you’re hoping to lower your interest rate, pay off high-interest debt, or take advantage of your home’s increased value, now may be the perfect time to take action. Give us a call to assess your options and ensure that refinancing is the right choice for you.

The Role of the Appraisal Contingency in Real Estate Contracts

When you’re buying a home, one important component of the real estate contract is the appraisal contingency. This clause protects the buyer in case the property’s appraisal comes in lower than the agreed-upon sale price. While it’s a common part of many real estate transactions, it’s often not fully understood. Here’s why it’s so important and how it can impact your purchase.

What is an Appraisal Contingency?

An appraisal contingency is a condition in the purchase agreement that allows the buyer to back out or renegotiate the deal if the property appraises for less than the offer price. Lenders require an appraisal to determine the market value of the home before approving a loan. If the appraisal comes in lower than expected, the buyer may be required to pay the difference in cash or negotiate a lower price with the seller.

Why is it Important?

The appraisal contingency serves as a safety net for buyers. If the home’s value comes in lower than expected, it ensures the buyer is not overpaying for the property. Without this contingency, the buyer would be responsible for paying the difference between the appraisal value and the agreed price out of pocket, which could be a significant financial burden. It also allows room for negotiations between the buyer and seller.

What Happens if the Appraisal Falls Short?

If the appraisal falls short of the agreed purchase price, several things can happen:

  1. Renegotiation of the Price: The buyer and seller can agree to lower the purchase price to match the appraisal value. This is the most common solution, especially if the buyer is unwilling or unable to pay the difference between the appraisal and the contract price.
  2. Buyer Pays the Difference: If the buyer still wants to purchase the home at the original price, they may decide to pay the difference in cash. This can happen if the buyer is confident that the home’s long-term value will increase or if they have the financial ability to cover the difference.
  3. Termination of the Contract: If the parties cannot reach an agreement and the buyer’s offer is contingent upon the appraisal value, the buyer may back out of the deal with their earnest money deposit returned.

When to Use an Appraisal Contingency

In a competitive market, buyers may sometimes decide to waive the appraisal contingency to make their offer more appealing to sellers. However, this is risky. Without the appraisal contingency, the buyer risks paying more than the home is worth, which could lead to financial difficulties down the road.

An experienced real estate agent and mortgage originator can help buyers understand the risks and benefits of an appraisal contingency, and guide them on how to use it to protect their investment.

The appraisal contingency is a valuable tool for homebuyers to ensure they don’t overpay for a property. Whether the appraisal comes in low or high, this clause provides buyers with options for renegotiation, or even the ability to walk away from the deal. Understanding the role of the appraisal contingency and how it fits into your overall home-buying strategy is crucial for making a sound investment.

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