12
Jun
By First Rate Financial Group
Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 12, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - June 12, 2023

Last week’s scheduled economic news included results from Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey and weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

Fannie Mae Survey Shows Lower Home Buyer Confidence in May

Fannie Mae reported lower home buyer confidence in housing market conditions in May. High home prices and rising mortgage rates challenged prospective home buyers while providing favorable conditions for sellers. 65 percent of consumers surveyed for Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index believed that it was a good time to sell their homes as compared to 62 percent of consumers surveyed in April. This was the highest consumer sentiment reading posted for the Home Purchase Sentiment Index since July 2022.

Mr. Mark Palim, a Fannie Mae Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist said: “Consumers also indicated that they didn’t expect affordability constraints to improve in the near future.”  81 percent of renters surveyed believed that it would be difficult to get a mortgage today.

Mortgage Rates Fall, Jobless Claims Rise

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week after three consecutive weeks of rising rates. The average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by eight basis points to 6.71 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.07 percent and 11 basis points lower.

Jobless claims rose with 261,000 initial jobless claims filed as compared to the expected reading of 236,000 first-time claims filed and the previous week’s reading of 233,000 filings.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic news includes The Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee Statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s scheduled press conference. The University of Michigan will release its monthly reading on consumer sentiment and weekly readings on mortgage rates and first-time jobless claims will also be released.

05
Jun
By First Rate Financial Group
Market Outlook

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 5, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - June 5, 2023Last week’s economic reporting included readings from S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices on home prices, reports on U.S. jobs growth, and the national unemployment rate. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

S&P Case-Shiller: Limited Supply of Available Homes Boosts Prices in March

Limited supplies of homes for sale drove home prices up in March. Home prices rose by 0.40 percent month-to-month as compared to 0.70 percent year-over-year. Cities with the highest rates of home price growth were Miami, Florida, where home prices rose 7.70 percent year-over-year, Tampa, Florida with a year-over-year pace of  4.80 percent home price growth, and Charlotte, North Carolina, where home prices rose by 4.70 percent year-over-year.

High mortgage rates impacted both home buyers and sellers as average mortgage rates approached 7 percent. Higher mortgage rates create higher monthly payments and also affect buyers’ ability to qualify for mortgage loans. Homeowners who refinanced to lower mortgage rates during the pandemic stayed in their homes rather than buying new homes or refinancing their current homes at higher interest rates.

The Commerce Department reported that construction spending rose by 7.2 percent year-over-year .and 1.2 percent month-to-month in April. Private residential construction rose by 0.50 percent in April, but single-family home construction fell by -0.8 percent.

Mortgage Rates and Jobless Claims Rise

Freddie Mac reported higher average mortgage rates last week as the rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 22 basis points to 6.79 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 21 basis points to an average rate of 6.18 percent.

232,000 new jobless claims were filed last week; analysts expected 235,000 initial claims to be filed as compared to the prior week’s reading of 230,000 initial jobless claims filed. The national unemployment rate rose to 3.7 percent in May. Analysts expected a national unemployment rate of  3.5 percent in May.

In related news, U.S. employment rose as 339,000 jobs were added in May; analysts expected a reading of 190,000 jobs added.  294,000 jobs were added in April.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

 

30
May
By First Rate Financial Group
Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – May 30, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - May 29, 2023Last week’s economic news included readings on new and pending home sales and inflation. The final monthly reading for May consumer sentiment was released along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

Shortage of previously-owned homes for sale directs buyers to new homes

Homeowners weren’t in a hurry to sell their homes due to the low mortgage rates they obtained during the pandemic. Current mortgage rates are higher than pandemic-era rates, which influenced homeowners to stay in their homes and keep their lower existing mortgage rates. Home buyers turned to new home developments as an alternative to shopping for a home within the slim supply of available previously-owned homes.

The number of pending home sales was unchanged from March as compared to the expected reading of an 0.80 percent increase in pending sales and the March reading of a -5.20 percent decrease in pending home sales. Rising mortgage rates and concerns over the economy sidelined some sellers and would-be home buyers. Rising inflation continued to impact consumers as prices for goods and services rose by 0.40 percent in April as compared to the March increase of 0.10 percent. Year-over-year inflation rose to 4.40 percent in April as compared to the March year-over-year inflation reading of 4.20 percent. 

Consumer concerns about inflation and recession were supported by the government-sponsored mortgage organization  Fannie Mae, which predicted a recession in the second half of 2023.

Fed forecasts a recession and raises key interest rate range

The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting revealed that policymakers were divided on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision to raise its key interest-rate range to 5.00 percent and 5.25 percent. Some Fed members indicated that May’s interest rate hike may be the last for the near future as expectations of a recession rose. 

Mortgage rates and jobless claims rise

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 18 basis points to 6.57 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 22 basis points to 5.97 percent.

229,000 new jobless claims were filed last week; this reading fell short of the expected reading of 245,000 initial claims filed and exceeded the prior week’s reading of 225,000 claims filed.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on public and private-sector jobs and the national unemployment rate. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released.